Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-13 · 20:00
11.2974.1%
X5.7316.7%
210.419.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WDWWLDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Southampton
LWWWWLLWWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.80
0.70
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.20
Against
4.70
9.30
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.40goals per match
Southampton conceded1.30
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.80goals per match
Man United conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.70
9.30
Match total
11.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.40
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
21.10
Match total
25.00

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
7.40
On target
5.70
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.1%83.3%+9.2 pp
Draw16.7%13.3%-3.4 pp
Away9.2%3.3%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.546.7%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.570.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-120.0%
2-120.0%
1-013.3%
5-013.3%
1-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

8.173.03
Average total11.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.580.0%
Over 10.566.7%
Over 11.536.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away30.0%