Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 19:00
15.1418.6%
X3.8225.1%
21.7056.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
LLDLWWDLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Leicester
WLWWLDLDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.80
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.50
Against
5.50
11.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

0.90goals per match
Leicester conceded1.20
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.40goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.50
11.80
Match total
9.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.90
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.20
Match total
24.70

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
2.30
On target
5.30
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.6%20.0%+1.4 pp
Draw25.1%25.0%-0.1 pp
Away56.3%55.0%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.515.0%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.151.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.0%
1-215.0%
0-215.0%
0-110.0%
0-310.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.956.00
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home18.2%
Away72.7%