Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 16:30
12.6036.8%
X3.4827.5%
22.6835.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
WLWLWWLDWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Arsenal
WDDDDDLLWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
6.20
9.20
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.70goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.00
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.20goals per match
Tottenham conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.20
9.20
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.40
Match total
20.70

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.70
On target
3.10
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%46.7%+9.9 pp
Draw27.5%22.8%-4.7 pp
Away35.7%30.4%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.591.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-09.8%
1-18.7%
2-18.7%
2-27.6%
0-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.89
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.2%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.8%28.4%–62.5% CI
Draw FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI
Away FT20.7%9.8%–38.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.86

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.2%
2+ goals55.2%
3+ goals24.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.0%
Away48.3%