Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 14:15
12.2941.8%
X3.3528.6%
23.2429.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LLWLWLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Crystal Palace
DLDDDLWWLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
2.30
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.30
Against
7.00
11.20
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
2.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

0.90goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.50
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.30
Corners against
7.00
11.20
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.70
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
26.50
Match total
21.70

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.20
On target
2.00
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.8%43.1%+1.3 pp
Draw28.6%29.3%+0.7 pp
Away29.6%27.5%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.491.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
1-011.4%
2-09.0%
0-08.4%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.56
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.8%24.3%–49.3% CI
Draw FT45.3%32.7%–58.5% CI
Away FT18.9%10.6%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.5%
Away41.5%