Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 20:00
19.959.6%
X5.6217.1%
21.3173.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DLWDDDLWLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Man City
WWLWWLWLLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.00
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
7.10N=10
4.70
Against
3.00
10.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.00goals per match
Man City conceded1.20
Matchup

Man City attack

1.80goals per match
Brighton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.00
10.20
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.00
Match total
20.60

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
15.80N=10
3.80
On target
5.70
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.6%25.0%+15.4 pp
Draw17.1%16.7%-0.4 pp
Away73.3%58.3%-14.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS41.7%

Historical average

0.921.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-216.7%
2-48.3%
1-08.3%
0-18.3%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.086.67
Average total10.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away69.2%