Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 15:00
11.2576.4%
X6.2715.2%
211.448.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Burnley
LWLLWWDLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
0.70
0.50
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.20
Against
6.70
13.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.70goals per match
Burnley conceded1.50
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.70goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.70
13.10
Match total
9.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
1.90
Match total
3.00
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
18.20
Match total
20.50

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
6.10N=10
5.90
On target
2.10
18%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.4%79.2%+2.8 pp
Draw15.2%16.7%+1.4 pp
Away8.3%4.2%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.579.2%
Over 3.554.2%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

2.750.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.8%
4-016.7%
2-212.5%
2-012.5%
3-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.463.46
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.554.2%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT82.4%59.0%–93.8% CI
Draw FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–18.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal94.1%
2+ goals70.6%
3+ goals47.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home94.1%
Away29.4%