Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-09 · 20:15
19.2610.4%
X5.1518.6%
21.3571.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WLLWLWLDLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Man United
DWLWLLWDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.40
Against
7.50
12.10
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.10goals per match
Man United conceded1.20
Matchup

Man United attack

1.40goals per match
Aston Villa conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.50
12.10
Match total
12.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
26.40
Match total
23.80

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.90
On target
5.30
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.4%25.0%+14.6 pp
Draw18.6%16.7%-2.0 pp
Away71.0%58.3%-12.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.001.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.7%
2-116.7%
1-116.7%
0-116.7%
1-48.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.006.50
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals46.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away84.6%