Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-09 · 18:00
12.0746.3%
X3.5127.3%
23.6226.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LWDWWDWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Southampton
DLWWWWLLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
2.10
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.80N=10
5.00
Against
5.00
10.40
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.30goals per match
Southampton conceded1.40
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.90goals per match
Everton conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.00
10.40
Match total
11.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
22.80
Match total
25.50

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
5.10
On target
5.90
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%33.0%-13.3 pp
Draw27.3%30.7%+3.4 pp
Away26.5%36.4%+9.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.321.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
0-112.5%
2-28.0%
0-08.0%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.664.45
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.538.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%9.5%–37.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%19.2%–51.2% CI
Away FT46.7%30.2%–63.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.3%
Away60.0%