Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-09 · 18:00
15.0319.0%
X4.0023.9%
21.6857.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
LLLDLWWDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Tottenham
WLWDLDWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.20
Against
5.00
11.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.00goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.60
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.40goals per match
Bournemouth conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.00
11.20
Match total
10.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.70
Match total
4.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
20.90
Match total
24.80

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
2.30
On target
5.00
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.0%29.2%+10.1 pp
Draw23.9%20.8%-3.1 pp
Away57.0%50.0%-7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.211.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
2-28.3%
1-48.3%
1-28.3%
1-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.045.83
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away58.3%