Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 18:00
12.0247.4%
X3.4228.0%
23.8924.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
LLLWDLDWLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Burnley
WLWLLWWDLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.50
Against
6.40
10.10
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.70
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.80goals per match
Burnley conceded1.50
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.90goals per match
West Ham conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.40
10.10
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.70
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
18.50
Match total
21.80

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
6.40N=10
4.80
On target
2.20
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches147
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.4%46.3%-1.1 pp
Draw28.0%28.6%+0.6 pp
Away24.6%25.2%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.461.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
2-111.6%
1-011.6%
1-28.8%
0-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.784.59
Average total10.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=147.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.536.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%36.6%–63.4% CI
Draw FT32.0%20.8%–45.8% CI
Away FT18.0%9.8%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.0%
Away36.0%