Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 18:00
11.1385.1%
X9.1510.5%
222.204.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WLWWWDWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Newcastle
LWLLDDLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.60
Against
6.20
9.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.60goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.60
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.10goals per match
Man City conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.60
Corners against
6.20
9.80
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.90
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
16.40
Match total
22.70

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
7.00
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home85.1%84.6%-0.5 pp
Draw10.5%0.0%-10.5 pp
Away4.3%15.4%+11.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

2.770.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

5-015.4%
2-015.4%
2-115.4%
4-115.4%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

10.382.77
Average total13.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.584.6%
Over 9.576.9%
Over 10.569.2%
Over 11.561.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away27.3%