Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-07 · 20:15
12.3840.3%
X3.4328.0%
23.0331.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
DLLLWDWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Leicester
WWLWWLDLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.00
Against
5.10
9.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.90goals per match
Leicester conceded1.10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.50goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.10
9.80
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.50
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
25.40
Match total
23.30

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
4.20
On target
5.70
18%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches105
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.3%38.1%-2.2 pp
Draw28.0%28.6%+0.6 pp
Away31.7%33.3%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.381.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-211.4%
0-010.5%
0-18.6%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.024.68
Average total10.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=105.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.2%
Over 9.562.9%
Over 10.549.5%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%5.3%–29.7% CI
Draw FT53.3%36.1%–69.8% CI
Away FT33.3%19.2%–51.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.3%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.7%
Away53.3%