Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-07 · 18:00
11.7554.9%
X3.7125.9%
25.0219.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
LDWWWDLWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Norwich
WLDLLLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.40
Against
6.90
8.70
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.50
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.40goals per match
Norwich conceded1.80
Matchup

Norwich attack

0.50goals per match
Watford conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.90
8.70
Match total
11.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
25.10
Match total
22.10

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.20
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.9%62.2%+7.2 pp
Draw25.9%25.7%-0.2 pp
Away19.2%12.2%-7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.740.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.2%
1-114.9%
2-114.9%
1-29.5%
3-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.013.78
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.0%37.1%–73.3% CI
Draw FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–13.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.0%
Away28.0%