Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-07 · 18:00
18.4311.4%
X4.5021.4%
21.4367.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
LWDWDLLWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Chelsea
LLWWDLDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
6.10N=10
6.10
Against
3.20
12.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
1.70
Total goals
3.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.80goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.60
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.50goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.20
12.00
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
23.70
Match total
22.30

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
3.80
On target
4.20
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.4%0.0%-11.4 pp
Draw21.4%30.8%+9.4 pp
Away67.2%69.2%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

0.692.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-230.8%
1-115.4%
2-215.4%
1-215.4%
0-415.4%

Comparable corner averages

3.466.85
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.569.2%
Over 10.561.5%
Over 11.515.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Away FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals46.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.7%
Away100.0%