Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-07 · 18:00
18.4311.4%
X4.5021.4%
21.4367.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
LWDWDLLWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Chelsea
LLWWDLDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.40
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
6.10N=10
6.10
Against
3.20
12.00
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
1.70
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
0.80goals per matchChelsea conceded1.60Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.50goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
6.10
Corners against
3.20
12.00
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
23.70
Match total
22.30
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
3.80
On target
4.20
7%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.4%0.0%-11.4 pp
Draw21.4%30.8%+9.4 pp
Away67.2%69.2%+2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS53.8%
Historical average
0.69–2.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-230.8%
1-115.4%
2-215.4%
1-215.4%
0-415.4%
Comparable corner averages
3.46–6.85
Average total10.31
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.569.2%
Over 10.561.5%
Over 11.515.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Away FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Remaining goals
2.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals46.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.7%
Away100.0%