Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 19:00
19.0310.6%
X5.5617.3%
21.3372.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WWLDWLLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Man City
DWWLWWLWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
6.80N=10
5.50
Against
2.90
11.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.10goals per match
Man City conceded1.30
Matchup

Man City attack

2.00goals per match
Southampton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
5.50
Corners against
2.90
11.30
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
23.40
Match total
20.30

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
4.30
On target
6.00
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home10.6%7.1%-3.5 pp
Draw17.3%28.6%+11.3 pp
Away72.1%64.3%-7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

0.571.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.4%
0-114.3%
1-214.3%
0-414.3%
0-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.437.00
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.6%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away75.0%