Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 16:30
11.3571.0%
X5.4517.6%
28.4011.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Aston Villa
DLLLWDLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.20
Against
6.30
12.80
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
2.00
3.30
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.70goals per match
Aston Villa conceded2.00
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

0.80goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.30
12.80
Match total
11.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
1.70
Match total
4.00
10%1/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

7.30N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
16.90
Match total
25.20

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.20
On target
2.60
17%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.0%64.3%-6.7 pp
Draw17.6%21.4%+3.8 pp
Away11.4%14.3%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

1.930.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-025.0%
3-010.7%
1-17.1%
0-07.1%
1-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.043.21
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away10.0%