Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 14:15
12.6635.9%
X3.2829.2%
22.7434.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DWWLLWDDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
West Ham
WLWLLLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.50
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.20N=10
8.20
Against
7.70
12.70
Total
12.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.10goals per match
West Ham conceded1.70
Matchup

West Ham attack

0.60goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
8.20
Corners against
7.70
12.70
Match total
12.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.30
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
22.20
Match total
18.20

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.10
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches150
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%32.0%-3.9 pp
Draw29.2%33.3%+4.2 pp
Away34.9%34.7%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS59.3%

Historical average

1.281.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
0-110.0%
1-210.0%
2-18.0%
2-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.60
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=150.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.7%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.5%15.8%–38.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%28.1%–53.2% CI
Away FT34.5%23.4%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals49.1%
3+ goals16.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away60.0%