Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 20:00
11.4367.1%
X4.6120.8%
27.9612.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LWLLWDLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Watford
LLLDWLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
5.40
12.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.50goals per match
Watford conceded1.50
Matchup

Watford attack

0.70goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.40
12.70
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
3.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
19.80
Match total
22.40

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
6.80
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.1%64.3%-2.8 pp
Draw20.8%28.6%+7.8 pp
Away12.1%7.1%-4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.210.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.3%
2-214.3%
3-110.7%
2-110.7%
1-110.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.114.07
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away27.3%