Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 17:30
12.2742.2%
X3.3029.0%
23.3228.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolves
DWLWDLDWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Arsenal
DWDDDDDLLW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
2.00
Against
6.60
7.20
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.30goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.20
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.20goals per match
Wolves conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
2.00
Corners against
6.60
7.20
Match total
11.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
20.60
Match total
20.80

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches144
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.2%43.1%+0.9 pp
Draw29.0%25.0%-4.0 pp
Away28.8%31.9%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.528.5%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.441.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
1-111.1%
2-09.7%
2-17.6%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.53
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=144.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%27.6%–54.7% CI
Draw FT36.2%24.0%–50.5% CI
Away FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals8.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.3%
Away38.3%