Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 15:00
11.1781.7%
X7.4612.8%
217.415.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
DWDWWLDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Bournemouth
LLWLLLLLLL
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.50
0.70
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.80
Against
7.10
10.00
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.50
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.10goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.90
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

0.50goals per match
Man United conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.10
10.00
Match total
11.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.80
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
21.00
Match total
20.00

Shots

17.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
7.00
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.7%93.8%+12.1 pp
Draw12.8%6.3%-6.6 pp
Away5.5%0.0%-5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS31.3%

Historical average

2.810.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.8%
1-018.8%
2-112.5%
6-012.5%
3-112.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.312.63
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.537.5%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away18.2%