Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 15:00
11.6857.1%
X3.6326.4%
25.8416.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
WWDLLWDLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Crystal Palace
WDLDDDLWWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.00
Against
7.20
10.60
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.60goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.20
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.00goals per match
Leicester conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.20
10.60
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.80
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
24.20
Match total
21.40

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.60
On target
2.10
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%44.4%-12.7 pp
Draw26.4%30.6%+4.1 pp
Away16.4%25.0%+8.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS61.1%

Historical average

1.501.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
2-016.7%
2-113.9%
3-111.1%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.783.75
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away36.4%