Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 15:00
11.6857.1%
X3.6326.4%
25.8416.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leicester
WWDLLWDLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Crystal Palace
WDLDDDLWWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.00
Against
7.20
10.60
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leicester attack
1.60goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.20Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.00goals per matchLeicester conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.20
10.60
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.80
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
24.20
Match total
21.40
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
4.60
On target
2.10
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%44.4%-12.7 pp
Draw26.4%30.6%+4.1 pp
Away16.4%25.0%+8.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS61.1%
Historical average
1.50–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.7%
2-016.7%
2-113.9%
3-111.1%
0-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.78–3.75
Average total9.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away36.4%