Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 12:30
13.3928.2%
X3.3228.8%
22.2342.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Norwich
DLLDDWLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Brighton
LWDLLLDDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.60
Against
5.80
11.80
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Norwich attack

0.90goals per match
Brighton conceded1.40
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.00goals per match
Norwich conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.60
Corners against
5.80
11.80
Match total
10.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.70
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
21.00
Match total
16.70

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.90
On target
5.00
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%28.6%+0.3 pp
Draw28.8%24.3%-4.5 pp
Away42.9%47.1%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.061.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-212.9%
2-110.0%
0-110.0%
0-08.6%
1-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.245.23
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.7%
Over 9.544.3%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI
Draw FT28.0%14.3%–47.6% CI
Away FT36.0%20.2%–55.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals24.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.0%
Away52.0%