Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-02 · 20:15
12.0746.3%
X3.8524.9%
23.3228.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
WWLWWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Liverpool
WWWWWWWWLD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
0.60
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.60N=10
For
6.10N=10
2.30
Against
2.90
10.90
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.60
3.20
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
2.40goals per matchLiverpool conceded0.60Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.70goals per matchMan City conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
2.30
Corners against
2.90
10.90
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.90
Match total
1.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.70N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
17.00
Match total
15.50
Shots
20.20N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
6.80
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%66.7%+20.4 pp
Draw24.9%20.0%-4.9 pp
Away28.9%13.3%-15.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
2.00–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-113.3%
2-013.3%
1-013.3%
2-113.3%
2-213.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.33–4.27
Average total9.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.91
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.8%
Away45.5%