Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-02 · 20:15
12.0746.3%
X3.8524.9%
23.3228.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWLWWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Liverpool
WWWWWWWWLD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
0.60
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.60N=10
For
6.10N=10
2.30
Against
2.90
10.90
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.60
3.20
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.40goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.60
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.70goals per match
Man City conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
2.30
Corners against
2.90
10.90
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.90
Match total
1.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
17.00
Match total
15.50

Shots

20.20N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
6.80
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.3%66.7%+20.4 pp
Draw24.9%20.0%-4.9 pp
Away28.9%13.3%-15.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.000.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-113.3%
2-013.3%
1-013.3%
2-113.3%
2-213.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.27
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away45.5%