Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 20:15
15.4817.5%
X4.2722.4%
21.5960.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
West Ham
LLLLWDLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Chelsea
WLLWWDLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.50
2.00
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.50
Against
3.10
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
2.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.70
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
West Ham attack
1.70goals per matchChelsea conceded1.40Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.50goals per matchWest Ham conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.10
10.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
18.30
Match total
21.70
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
5.00
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.5%7.7%-9.8 pp
Draw22.4%38.5%+16.1 pp
Away60.1%53.8%-6.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS61.5%
Historical average
0.92–2.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-415.4%
0-015.4%
2-215.4%
0-27.7%
1-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–5.23
Average total10.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.523.1%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.7%
Away50.0%