Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 20:15
15.4817.5%
X4.2722.4%
21.5960.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
LLLLWDLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Chelsea
WLLWWDLDDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.50
2.00
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.50
Against
3.10
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
2.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.70
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.70goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.40
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.50goals per match
West Ham conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.10
10.60
Match total
9.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
4.50
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
18.30
Match total
21.70

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
5.00
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.5%7.7%-9.8 pp
Draw22.4%38.5%+16.1 pp
Away60.1%53.8%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

0.922.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-415.4%
0-015.4%
2-215.4%
0-27.7%
1-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.155.23
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.523.1%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away50.0%