Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 18:00
12.4039.9%
X3.1630.3%
23.2129.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
WLLLDLWWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Newcastle
WLWLLDDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.90
Against
6.30
11.70
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.60
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.00goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.70
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.00goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
6.90
Corners against
6.30
11.70
Match total
10.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
21.40
Match total
22.30

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
2.80
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches123
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%38.2%-1.7 pp
Draw30.3%32.5%+2.2 pp
Away29.8%29.3%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS43.1%

Historical average

1.070.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-013.8%
0-113.0%
0-013.0%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.19
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=123.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.542.3%
Over 10.534.1%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.4%19.1%–44.8% CI
Draw FT39.1%26.4%–53.5% CI
Away FT30.4%19.1%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals21.7%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.3%
Away37.0%