Premier League · 2019/20
2020-07-01 · 18:00
11.4466.4%
X4.6920.4%
27.2313.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
DDLLLWDWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Norwich
LWLDLLLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.50
1.30
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.70
Against
7.10
10.70
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.60goals per match
Norwich conceded1.60
Matchup

Norwich attack

0.50goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.70
Corners against
7.10
10.70
Match total
11.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.20
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
25.50
Match total
22.00

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.80
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.4%75.0%+8.6 pp
Draw20.4%20.0%-0.4 pp
Away13.2%5.0%-8.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.542.5%
BTTS52.5%

Historical average

2.650.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-117.5%
3-112.5%
2-012.5%
3-010.0%
1-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.173.58
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%48.1%–85.5% CI
Draw FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Away FT5.0%0.9%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals65.0%
3+ goals45.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away30.0%