Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-30 · 20:15
16.3115.2%
X3.8525.0%
21.6159.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
WLDLWDDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Man United
LDWLWLLWDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.20
Against
7.50
10.10
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.10goals per match
Man United conceded1.30
Matchup

Man United attack

1.10goals per match
Brighton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.50
10.10
Match total
13.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
18.80
Match total
24.50

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.90
On target
5.10
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.2%9.1%-6.2 pp
Draw25.0%27.3%+2.3 pp
Away59.8%63.6%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.513.6%
BTTS54.5%

Historical average

0.681.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-127.3%
1-218.2%
1-113.6%
2-19.1%
0-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.364.73
Average total9.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.540.9%
Over 10.527.3%
Over 11.522.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals21.4%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home14.3%
Away64.3%