Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-29 · 20:00
12.2941.7%
X3.1630.2%
23.4128.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
LLWDWDLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Burnley
LWLWLLWWDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
10%
By half
0.40
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.60
Against
6.20
12.10
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
1.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
0.80goals per matchBurnley conceded1.80Matchup
Burnley attack
0.80goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.60
Corners against
6.20
12.10
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.30
Match total
21.30
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
6.20N=10
3.70
On target
1.80
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches132
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%35.6%-6.1 pp
Draw30.2%42.4%+12.2 pp
Away28.0%22.0%-6.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS46.2%
Historical average
1.16–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.7%
0-017.4%
1-011.4%
0-18.3%
2-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.27–4.11
Average total9.39
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=132.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.524.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.6%17.8%–40.2% CI
Draw FT55.2%42.5%–67.3% CI
Away FT17.2%9.6%–28.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal60.3%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals15.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.6%
Away37.9%