Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-29 · 20:00
12.2941.7%
X3.1630.2%
23.4128.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
LLWDWDLLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Burnley
LWLWLLWWDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
10%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.60
Against
6.20
12.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
1.80
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.80goals per match
Burnley conceded1.80
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.80goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.60
Corners against
6.20
12.10
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.30
Match total
21.30

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
6.20N=10
3.70
On target
1.80
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches132
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%35.6%-6.1 pp
Draw30.2%42.4%+12.2 pp
Away28.0%22.0%-6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

1.160.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.7%
0-017.4%
1-011.4%
0-18.3%
2-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.11
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=132.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.6%17.8%–40.2% CI
Draw FT55.2%42.5%–67.3% CI
Away FT17.2%9.6%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.3%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals15.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.6%
Away37.9%