Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-28 · 16:30
12.4938.4%
X3.3228.8%
22.9232.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
LLDWWWDLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Southampton
LDLWWWWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.70
Against
6.20
8.60
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.40goals per match
Southampton conceded1.50
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.70goals per match
Watford conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.20
8.60
Match total
12.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.70
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
23.70
Match total
24.90

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
3.50
On target
5.50
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%39.5%+1.1 pp
Draw28.8%27.2%-1.7 pp
Away32.8%33.3%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS45.7%

Historical average

1.261.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.6%
1-113.6%
0-19.9%
1-28.6%
2-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.40
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.7%24.5%–59.3% CI
Draw FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI
Away FT29.6%15.9%–48.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.0%
Away44.4%