Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-27 · 12:30
14.7920.0%
X3.6826.1%
21.7853.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LWLLWLWLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Wolves
DWDWLLWDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.60
2.10
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
6.70N=10
6.20
Against
4.20
12.90
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
2.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.20goals per match
Wolves conceded1.20
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.60goals per match
Aston Villa conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
6.20
Corners against
4.20
12.90
Match total
10.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.50
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
25.30
Match total
20.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.00
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.0%13.3%-6.7 pp
Draw26.1%46.7%+20.6 pp
Away53.9%40.0%-13.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

0.731.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-133.3%
0-113.3%
0-013.3%
1-013.3%
1-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.536.80
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.3%
Away53.3%