Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-25 · 20:15
14.1423.2%
X4.0723.6%
21.8053.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WLWLLWDLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Man City
LDWWLWWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.70N=10
For
7.40N=10
3.50
Against
2.80
12.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.50goals per match
Man City conceded1.40
Matchup

Man City attack

2.00goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
7.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
2.80
12.20
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
20.80
Match total
20.20

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
6.30
On target
6.10
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%32.3%+9.1 pp
Draw23.6%25.8%+2.2 pp
Away53.3%41.9%-11.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS67.7%

Historical average

1.351.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.1%
2-112.9%
1-112.9%
1-06.5%
0-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.875.68
Average total10.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.551.6%
Over 11.541.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away50.0%