Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-25 · 20:15
14.1423.2%
X4.0723.6%
21.8053.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chelsea
WLWLLWDLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Man City
LDWWLWWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
8.70N=10
For
7.40N=10
3.50
Against
2.80
12.20
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.50goals per matchMan City conceded1.40Matchup
Man City attack
2.00goals per matchChelsea conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
7.40N=10
3.50
Corners against
2.80
12.20
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
20.80
Match total
20.20
Shots
18.30N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
6.30
On target
6.10
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%32.3%+9.1 pp
Draw23.6%25.8%+2.2 pp
Away53.3%41.9%-11.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS67.7%
Historical average
1.35–1.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-216.1%
2-112.9%
1-112.9%
1-06.5%
0-06.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.87–5.68
Average total10.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.551.6%
Over 11.541.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away50.0%