Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-25 · 18:00
12.6436.3%
X3.4727.6%
22.6536.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LWWLDWLLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Arsenal
LDWDDDDDLL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.80
Against
6.70
11.70
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.20goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.40
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.00goals per match
Southampton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.70
11.70
Match total
11.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
23.40
Match total
20.40

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.30
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.3%41.2%+4.9 pp
Draw27.6%25.5%-2.1 pp
Away36.1%33.3%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.391.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
1-010.8%
2-19.8%
0-18.8%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.505.00
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.536.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.4%32.0%–65.2% CI
Draw FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI
Away FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.3%
2+ goals54.8%
3+ goals29.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.7%
Away54.8%