Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-25 · 18:00
13.0231.7%
X3.2229.7%
22.4838.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
WLLWLLWDWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Watford
WLLLDWLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.70
Against
6.30
10.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.20goals per match
Watford conceded1.40
Matchup

Watford attack

0.90goals per match
Burnley conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.30
10.20
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
22.70
Match total
21.60

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
4.90
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%33.3%+1.6 pp
Draw29.7%33.3%+3.6 pp
Away38.6%33.3%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.59.5%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.021.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-126.2%
2-111.9%
1-011.9%
0-19.5%
0-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.675.50
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.8%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away56.3%