Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-24 · 18:00
12.3341.1%
X3.3328.7%
23.1730.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WDWWLLWDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Aston Villa
LDLLLWDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
7.70
Against
6.30
12.10
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
2.10
2.10
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.20goals per match
Aston Villa conceded2.10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

0.80goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
7.70
Corners against
6.30
12.10
Match total
10.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.90
Match total
24.90

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.70
On target
2.80
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches154
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%38.3%-2.8 pp
Draw28.7%33.1%+4.4 pp
Away30.2%28.6%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

1.321.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
1-012.3%
2-010.4%
0-09.7%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.73
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.533.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%22.5%–46.3% CI
Draw FT43.9%31.8%–56.7% CI
Away FT22.8%13.8%–35.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals7.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away43.9%