Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-24 · 18:00
11.4367.0%
X4.3921.8%
28.6211.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WDWDWWLDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Sheffield United
DDWWLLDWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.50
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.50
Against
6.70
9.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
1.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.10goals per match
Sheffield United conceded1.10
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

0.70goals per match
Man United conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.70
9.20
Match total
10.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.80
Match total
19.40

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
7.50
On target
2.40
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.0%71.4%+4.4 pp
Draw21.8%14.3%-7.6 pp
Away11.1%14.3%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.930.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-021.4%
2-114.3%
2-27.1%
0-17.1%
4-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.213.79
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.6%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away36.4%