Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-23 · 18:00
11.6458.7%
X3.9724.2%
25.6417.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
WWWDLLWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Brighton
LLWDLLLDDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.70
Against
5.70
10.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.80goals per match
Brighton conceded1.70
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.10goals per match
Leicester conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.70
10.20
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.60
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
23.90
Match total
16.80

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.10
On target
5.00
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%60.0%+1.3 pp
Draw24.2%16.0%-8.2 pp
Away17.1%24.0%+6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS36.0%

Historical average

1.520.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.0%
2-016.0%
0-112.0%
1-28.0%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.204.08
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.548.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away40.0%