Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-22 · 20:00
11.1384.5%
X8.9710.6%
219.854.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWLWWWDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Burnley
LLWLWLLWWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.90
Against
6.80
12.50
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.20goals per match
Burnley conceded1.50
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.90goals per match
Man City conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.80
12.50
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.90
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
17.00
Match total
21.20

Shots

20.80N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
7.00
On target
2.20
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.5%100.0%+15.5 pp
Draw10.6%0.0%-10.6 pp
Away4.8%0.0%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.566.7%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

3.470.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-120.0%
2-013.3%
4-36.7%
3-26.7%
4-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

8.603.53
Average total12.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.553.3%
Over 11.553.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away27.3%