Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 19:00
15.6617.0%
X4.2322.7%
21.5960.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
WDLWDWWDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Liverpool
DWWWWWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.30
Against
3.10
10.90
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
0.70
2.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.40goals per matchLiverpool conceded0.70Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.80goals per matchEverton conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.10
10.90
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.60
Match total
1.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
22.50
Match total
14.80
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.40
9%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.0%15.4%-1.6 pp
Draw22.7%30.8%+8.1 pp
Away60.4%53.8%-6.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS53.8%
Historical average
0.92–2.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-423.1%
2-115.4%
2-215.4%
0-115.4%
1-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.15–6.15
Average total10.31
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.569.2%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.523.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away53.8%