Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 19:00
15.6617.0%
X4.2322.7%
21.5960.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WDLWDWWDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Liverpool
DWWWWWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
0.80
Conceded
0.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.30
Against
3.10
10.90
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
0.80
Goals conceded
0.70
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.40goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.70
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.80goals per match
Everton conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.10
10.90
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.60
Match total
1.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
22.50
Match total
14.80

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.40
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.0%15.4%-1.6 pp
Draw22.7%30.8%+8.1 pp
Away60.4%53.8%-6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

0.922.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-423.1%
2-115.4%
2-215.4%
0-115.4%
1-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.156.15
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.569.2%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away53.8%