Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-21 · 14:00
13.3128.9%
X3.1030.9%
22.3840.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
DWDWWLLWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Sheffield United
DDDWWLLDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
0.60
1.20
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
7.90
Against
7.50
12.40
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.00
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.00goals per matchSheffield United conceded0.90Matchup
Sheffield United attack
0.80goals per matchNewcastle conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
7.90
Corners against
7.50
12.40
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.30
Match total
19.20
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.10
On target
2.70
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.9%18.5%-10.4 pp
Draw30.9%33.3%+2.5 pp
Away40.2%48.1%+7.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS51.9%
Historical average
1.00–1.56
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-214.8%
0-214.8%
0-114.8%
1-114.8%
1-011.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–4.96
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.4%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.525.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Away FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Remaining goals
0.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.5%
Away50.0%