Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 19:45
12.5138.2%
X3.2429.6%
22.9832.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
DWLLLDLWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Crystal Palace
DLWDLDDDLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
7.20
Against
7.40
11.50
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.00goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.20
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.00goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
7.20
Corners against
7.40
11.50
Match total
11.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.00N=10
4.10
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.50
Match total
22.70

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
2.90
On target
2.40
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.2%44.7%+6.4 pp
Draw29.6%31.1%+1.5 pp
Away32.2%24.3%-7.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.441.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.5%
1-116.5%
2-110.7%
2-26.8%
0-15.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.175.12
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.7%21.9%–54.5% CI
Draw FT43.3%27.4%–60.8% CI
Away FT20.0%9.5%–37.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away53.3%