Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 15:00
13.0431.5%
X3.3728.4%
22.3940.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
WWLDLWDDDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Arsenal
LLDWDDDDDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.00
Against
6.40
8.90
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.20goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.30
Matchup

Arsenal attack

0.90goals per match
Brighton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.40
8.90
Match total
12.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
19.10
Match total
20.50

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
3.80
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.5%29.3%-2.2 pp
Draw28.4%23.2%-5.2 pp
Away40.1%47.6%+7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.051.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-012.2%
1-212.2%
0-111.0%
0-211.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.225.07
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.556.1%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT36.4%19.7%–57.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals4.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away50.0%