Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-20 · 12:30
13.5926.8%
X3.5227.3%
22.0946.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
DLLDWWWDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Leicester
WWWWLWWLDL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.40
0.90
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.00
Against
5.30
9.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.40
0.90
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.30goals per match
Leicester conceded0.80
Matchup

Leicester attack

2.40goals per match
Watford conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.30
9.20
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.40
Match total
3.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
23.20
Match total
22.90

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
16.20N=10
3.40
On target
7.20
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.8%19.4%-7.4 pp
Draw27.3%32.3%+5.0 pp
Away46.0%48.4%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

0.871.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
0-012.9%
1-29.7%
0-29.7%
0-39.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.265.23
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.6%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal53.8%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.1%
Away53.8%