Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-19 · 20:15
13.0331.9%
X3.4028.4%
22.4339.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tottenham
DDWWLWLWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Man United
WLDWLWLLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.90
Against
6.90
8.80
Total
12.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.80goals per matchMan United conceded1.30Matchup
Man United attack
1.30goals per matchTottenham conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.90
8.80
Match total
12.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
18.90
Match total
23.30
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.00
On target
5.60
15%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%32.1%+0.2 pp
Draw28.4%23.1%-5.3 pp
Away39.7%44.9%+5.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.10–1.41
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
0-111.5%
1-011.5%
0-210.3%
1-29.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–5.19
Average total10.37
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.5%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.535.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals23.8%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.9%
Away47.6%