Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-17 · 20:15
11.3570.8%
X5.5017.4%
28.1111.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
LWWWLWWWDW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Arsenal
DLLDWDDDDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

10.00N=10
For
6.10N=10
2.80
Against
6.70
12.80
Total
12.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man City attack

1.90goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.00goals per match
Man City conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
10.00N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
2.80
Corners against
6.70
12.80
Match total
12.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
17.90
Match total
22.00

Shots

20.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
6.00
On target
3.10
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.8%85.7%+14.9 pp
Draw17.4%7.1%-10.2 pp
Away11.8%7.1%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.500.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-028.6%
2-114.3%
2-27.1%
4-07.1%
2-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.213.50
Average total8.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.535.7%
Over 10.521.4%
Over 11.514.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away35.7%