Premier League · 2019/20
2020-06-17 · 18:00
13.3029.0%
X3.3328.8%
22.2742.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
DWLWLLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Sheffield United
DDDDWWLLDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
2.20
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
10%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.60
1.80
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.60
Against
7.00
12.30
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
2.20
Goals conceded
0.90
3.70
Total goals
1.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.50goals per match
Sheffield United conceded0.90
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

0.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.00
12.30
Match total
11.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.80
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
25.40
Match total
18.00

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.10
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.0%25.7%-3.3 pp
Draw28.8%30.0%+1.2 pp
Away42.2%44.3%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS44.3%

Historical average

0.941.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
0-112.9%
0-211.4%
0-010.0%
1-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.295.03
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.3%
Over 9.541.4%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Draw FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Away FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away50.0%