Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-09 · 20:00
11.3869.4%
X5.1218.7%
28.0511.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
WWWWDLLWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Aston Villa
LLDLLLWDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.10
Against
6.70
10.60
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
2.90
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.60goals per match
Aston Villa conceded2.00
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

0.80goals per match
Leicester conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.70
10.60
Match total
11.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.60
Match total
4.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
22.60
Match total
23.70

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.70
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.4%57.1%-12.3 pp
Draw18.7%19.0%+0.3 pp
Away11.9%23.8%+11.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

1.861.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-119.0%
0-014.3%
2-014.3%
3-09.5%
0-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.243.52
Average total10.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.538.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away18.2%