Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 16:30
15.0419.0%
X4.2822.4%
21.6458.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
DWDWDWWLDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Man City
WLDWWLWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.20
0.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
7.10N=10
3.50
Against
2.70
8.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.20
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.00goals per match
Man City conceded1.20
Matchup

Man City attack

2.20goals per match
Man United conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
2.70
8.30
Match total
9.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.90
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.80
Match total
20.00

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
17.70N=10
7.10
On target
6.90
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.0%23.1%+4.0 pp
Draw22.4%15.4%-7.0 pp
Away58.5%61.5%+3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS30.8%

Historical average

0.852.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-423.1%
0-115.4%
1-215.4%
3-07.7%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.624.77
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.523.1%
Over 11.515.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away50.0%