Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 14:00
11.8751.4%
X3.7425.7%
24.2022.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WWLWLLWDLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Everton
LWLLDWLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
100%

By half

0.80
1H goals
2.20
1.40
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

9.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.40
Against
4.50
12.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
3.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
100%10/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.20goals per match
Everton conceded2.10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.70goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.50
12.60
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
21.10
Match total
24.30

Shots

18.20N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
6.00
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.4%53.6%+2.2 pp
Draw25.7%32.1%+6.4 pp
Away22.9%14.3%-8.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS64.3%

Historical average

1.931.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
2-010.7%
2-110.7%
1-07.1%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.895.00
Average total10.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away26.7%