Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-08 · 14:00
11.8751.4%
X3.7425.7%
24.2022.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chelsea
WWLWLLWDLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Everton
LWLLDWLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.70
1.00
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
100%
By half
0.80
1H goals
2.20
1.40
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
9.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.40
Against
4.50
12.60
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
3.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.20goals per matchEverton conceded2.10Matchup
Everton attack
1.70goals per matchChelsea conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.50
12.60
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.80N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
21.10
Match total
24.30
Shots
18.20N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
6.00
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.4%53.6%+2.2 pp
Draw25.7%32.1%+6.4 pp
Away22.9%14.3%-8.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS64.3%
Historical average
1.93–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.9%
2-010.7%
2-110.7%
1-07.1%
3-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.89–5.00
Average total10.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.546.4%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away26.7%