Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 17:30
12.7235.3%
X3.3029.1%
22.6935.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
LWLLWLLWDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Tottenham
LDWLWDLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.80
Against
5.90
10.50
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
1.30goals per matchTottenham conceded1.50Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.40goals per matchBurnley conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.90
10.50
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.50
Match total
23.20
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.60
On target
5.20
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%27.0%-8.3 pp
Draw29.1%32.1%+3.0 pp
Away35.7%40.9%+5.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS61.3%
Historical average
1.20–1.47
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.1%
0-112.4%
2-210.9%
1-210.9%
2-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.58–4.92
Average total10.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=137.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.2%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.533.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.5%11.2%–34.5% CI
Draw FT38.6%25.7%–53.4% CI
Away FT40.9%27.7%–55.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals20.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.2%
Away65.9%