Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 17:30
12.7235.3%
X3.3029.1%
22.6935.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
LWLLWLLWDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Tottenham
LDWLWDLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.80
Against
5.90
10.50
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.30goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.50
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.40goals per match
Burnley conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.90
10.50
Match total
10.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.50
Match total
23.20

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.60
On target
5.20
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.3%27.0%-8.3 pp
Draw29.1%32.1%+3.0 pp
Away35.7%40.9%+5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

1.201.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
0-112.4%
2-210.9%
1-210.9%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.584.92
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=137.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.2%
Over 9.560.6%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.5%11.2%–34.5% CI
Draw FT38.6%25.7%–53.4% CI
Away FT40.9%27.7%–55.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.2%
Away65.9%