Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 15:00
11.6558.2%
X3.9524.3%
25.4817.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolves
DWDWLWDLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Brighton
LLLWDLLLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.20
Against
6.20
7.30
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.50goals per match
Brighton conceded1.90
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.20goals per match
Wolves conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.20
Corners against
6.20
7.30
Match total
11.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.20
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
22.50
Match total
18.30

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.50
On target
5.40
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.2%50.0%-8.2 pp
Draw24.3%25.0%+0.7 pp
Away17.5%25.0%+7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.581.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.4%
0-113.9%
3-111.1%
1-011.1%
2-111.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.083.89
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.536.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away57.1%