Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 15:00
11.6558.2%
X3.9524.3%
25.4817.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Wolves
DWDWLWDLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Brighton
LLLWDLLLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.20
Against
6.20
7.30
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Wolves attack
1.50goals per matchBrighton conceded1.90Matchup
Brighton attack
1.20goals per matchWolves conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.20
Corners against
6.20
7.30
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.20
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
22.50
Match total
18.30
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.50
On target
5.40
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.2%50.0%-8.2 pp
Draw24.3%25.0%+0.7 pp
Away17.5%25.0%+7.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
1.58–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.4%
0-113.9%
3-111.1%
1-011.1%
2-111.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.08–3.89
Average total9.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.536.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals7.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away57.1%